Speaker
1: |
I've
already raised already five million for one technology firm. |
Reporter: |
It's
the first anniversary of the dot com crash and the local digerati in Sydney
are regrouping. |
Speaker
2: |
The
internet isn't a lifestyle. It isn't an economy. And given these days that it
isn't even a prescription for getting rich quick. It's hardly an aphrodisiac. |
Reporter: |
Just
over a year ago, Australia could not get enough of dotcoms. The 30 billion
dollar new economy spawned a new generation of wannabe millionaires in their
early twenties. |
Speaker
3: |
If
they backed the right ship they would make a lot of money and never have to
work again. |
Reporter: |
Tonight
on Four Corners, why so many people believe this boom would never go bust. |
|
April
is springtime in Holland, and with it comes high tulip season. It's hard to
imagine that four centuries ago just one of these bulbs was worth as much as
the best house in Amsterdam. |
|
When
the tulip arrived in 16th century Holland, its beauty and variety created an
obsession and a market. Speculation in tulips created a boom in blooms, but
in 1637, tulips collapsed. |
Roger
M: |
People
sold their houses. They sold their manors and their farms to buy one tulip
bulb, and they lost the whole lot. |
Reporter: |
Tulip
mania set the pattern for future booms and busts, from the South Sea bubble,
to the railways, and the market crash of 1929. |
|
Today
the tulip has gone online, but it seems we've learnt very little. Just like
tulip, no one really understood the dotcom investment bubble, and almost
everyone has lost from it. |
|
So
you got stuck in? |
Speaker
4: |
Yes,
in a big way. And unfortunately- |
Speaker
5: |
We're
still in. |
Speaker
4: |
We're
holding, we've reduced holdings. |
Speaker
5: |
They're
longterm investments, they are. |
Speaker
4: |
They're
holds. |
Reporter: |
Do
you know what businesses they do? |
Speaker
6: |
No,
it's ... nothing. |
Speaker
7: |
Basically
nothing [crosstalk]. |
Speaker
6: |
Just
sort of whatever happens on the web, I think. I'm not sure, actually. |
Speaker
8: |
I
wasn't very experienced in stocks at that point in time. So I just held on to
my stocks and yeah, they just kept going down, and down, and down. |
Reporter: |
Tokyo.
Home to the microchip, outdoor electronic advertising, the world's best
internet-active mobiles, and the biggest consumers of luxury goods in the
world. |
|
It
is also where one of the creators of Australia's dotcom industry can be found
these days. His name is Chris O'Hanlon, and he stumbled across the internet
in 1993. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
I
had a very nomadic childhood and here was a medium in which you were
literally moving through data all over the world. It seemed to make perfect
sense to me, even at the time when it didn't make particularly much sense to anybody
else. |
Reporter: |
The
dotcom he created was Spike Networks. Spike's story is a classic tale from
inside the bubble. Chris Hamlin's
journey began a long way from Tokyo. |
|
Six
years ago in a small house in Sydney's leafy Rose Bay, the seeds of one of
Australia's best known dotcoms were sown. The plan was to convince
Australia's top companies that they needed websites on the internet, and then
to design and build them. |
|
Ruby
Blessing was the designer. At the time it was gutsy. Chris and Ruby's first
pitch was to auto giant Toyota. |
Ruby
Blessing: |
We
went in with a computer, a site that was built, a big screen and said,
"This is what the internet looks like." |
|
You
click and you want to look at the models. And here's picture of the car, and
here's all the specs and features. And here, somebody wants to talk to you.
They click here and they can send you an email so there's instant
communication within. |
Reporter: |
Chris
and Ruby got the Toyota deal, and they were in business. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
To
be honest, from the day that we started I saw very quickly that we could grow
this into at least a hundred, a hundred fifty million dollar company. I was
absolutely clueless about how that was going to happen, but there was a sense
that we were on the cusp of something rather important and amazing. And that
we, in Australia, were going to be at the centre of it somehow . |
Reporter: |
The
third founder of Spike, Stephen Murphy, was not far behind. He's no busy with
his own building project, but his background in sales is just what Chris was
after. |
Stephen
Murphy: |
I
received a phone call from Chris to meet with him and Ruby in a hotel in
Kings Cross where he pitched me the future of the web, but desperately needed
a sales force or anybody to create revenue. |
Reporter: |
Operating
out of Ruby's front room, Spike's client list grew. But there were other
signs that Chris O'Hanlon was onto something. Already in the US, Netscape,
which created the popular web browser, and Amazon, the online book seller,
were becoming household names. |
|
So
was the stock exchange which listed their shares. Nasdaq trades a range of
stocks, but dotcoms would drive the action. Over six years, Nasdaq would sour
from 730 billion US dollars to 6 trillion dollars, sending world markets into
a frenzy. |
|
But
internet fever didn't happen overnight. Back in Australia, one of Spike's
first employees was Ben White. |
Ben
White: |
Up
until about 1998, we'd been struggling to convince people that the internet
was a good thing to get into. We had a very small number of people. I
remember quite distinctly, there were a couple of months, suddenly switching
the other way were people couldn't get enough of it. |
|
And
at that point it because like, capitalism on steroids. It was just unstoppable.
We had people, you know, literally banging the door down wanting us to do
their sites. Everybody believed that they could actually own a substantial
portion of internet. All they had to do was get a page with a bunch of links
on it. Why wouldn't everybody in the world go to their page? |
Ruby
Blessing: |
Clients
would walk straight in to an open plan office where you can see everybody.
And there's stuff everywhere, and there's computers everywhere, and there's
phones going off, and there's people doing things. It was really exciting. |
Ben
White: |
It
was so cool. They didn't have a phone number, originally. It was like this
dark, underground organisation, and you somehow had to find out through the
grapevine how to get a job interview there. |
Stephen
Murphy: |
Spike
was seen as a culture. We had a phrase, "We're Spike, you're not."
And it was said jokingly, but it was taken onboard. Then our competitors did
not want to come and pitch against us. They were inhibited by us but never
had met us. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
The
prime culture today among youth is digital. Spike is going to be the News
Corp or the Disney of tomorrow. |
Reporter: |
The
most magnetic part of Spike was its quick sotted leader. Volatile and
visionary, Chris O'Halon was the son of one of Australia's
best known authors, Morris West. Chris' charisma wooed clients and workers in
a world of young computer nerds. |
Speaker
9: |
Chris
was one of those original, Australia entrepreneurs. Now I guess the industry
has a lot to thank him for. He was the first person to charge a client more
than a million dollars to develop a website. You know, he broke a lot of new
ground. |
Stephen
Murphy: |
Very
creative, very articulate. Exceptionally intelligent. And manic depressant. |
Reporter: |
Beneath
all of Spike's psychology was a more fundamental problem: money. Steven
Murphy was under pressure to create sales. |
Stephen
Murphy: |
I
used to sit down each month and calculate what the overheads would be. And in
the second year it would be over 350 thousand dollars a month. I'd have to
find that revenue every single month, by the 28th of the month. |
Reporter: |
Hungry
for new revenue markets, Spike soon outgrew Australia. It was time to go in
search of American dollars. |
Ben
White: |
I
mean I produced one thing. Mass produced it for the same ... you've got 200
million idiots instead of 20 million idiots, you know? |
Reporter: |
America
was a big market, but one already served by thousands of American web
designers all competing for the same business. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
One
of the big opportunities with California culturenet,
is to take California culture to the rest of the world. |
Reporter: |
Websites
were labor-intensive, and costs were high. Spike
needed cash. The good news was that dotcoms were now hot property. |
|
By
late 1998, investors were only too willing to buy into the action. In
December, Australia first dotcom float, LibertyOne,
set the pattern. Its shares jumped over 50 percent in the first few weeks of
listing. From now on, the main agenda for any dotcom was to float. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
I'm
not too sure what came first, the chicken or the egg? The notion that we
should expand massively, and therefore we need to raise a deal of capital. Or
we have an opportunity to raise a deal of capital, what could be the reason
for that? |
Reporter: |
It
didn't matter what a dotcom actually did, as long as it sounded sexy. As it
happened, Chris O'Hanlon had been pushing a very sexy idea. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
The
internet is a nation of its own. The natural citizenship is you. We intend to
be its national broadcaster. |
Kristin
Martin: |
Hi,
I'm Kristin Martin. How you ever wondered where to log onto a live, 24 hour,
7 day a week entertainment and radio network? Well, it's called Spike Radio. |
Speaker
10: |
Hello,
Spike Radio. |
Ruby
Blessing: |
You
had to have a story, and it had to be a story that would turn on the market
at that moment. And the market didn't care if there was substance behind it
or not, really. As long as the due diligence kind of fitted and the projections
seemed okay, and seemed to fit with what everybody else was projecting. I
don't think anybody wanted to dig any deeper. And, you know ... |
Reporter: |
Did
that worry you? |
Ruby
Blessing: |
A
little bit. |
Reporter: |
By
the time Spike floated in July '99, it had morphed into a dotcom
conglomerate. The prospectus promised end-to-end strategic internet services,
e-commerce solutions, a radio web caster, a Spike cast hosting network, and a
portal for hip, young users. |
Television: |
I
mean, I don't know how you can really fake epilepsy or AIDS in order to get
pot, but- |
Reporter: |
Never
mind what it meant or that Spike had lost nearly four million dollars in less
than a year. |
|
In
the fabulous future, Spike would attract customers, advertisers, and money. Spike's
float was oversubscribed, almost a third of its shares were floated at $1.45.
It valued Chris' holding in Spike at cool $37 million dollars, even though he
couldn't sell his shares for two years. They were frozen in escrow. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
It
was a lot of money. But for me it was really the thing of grabbing the brass
ring ... of saying I took it all the way. I took the company from zero to
hero. I followed the American arc that defined the success of a web
enterprise. We did it, too. |
Reporter: |
Taz Lipscomb, a young surgeon in Sydney, was a typical
Spike investor with little experience. He couldn't get shares in the float,
but he bought in as soon as he could. |
Taz Lipscomb: |
I
think Chris O'Hanlon was quite a dynamo. Big media profile. And there's
always articles about them, and they're expanding to American with their
radio. They were a very well-known web producer, and I'd known that they'd
done some big sites. I think they've done Toyota and some of the bigger
companies. |
Reporter: |
How
much did you buy? |
Taz Lipscomb: |
How
much did I buy? Four thousand shares at about between $1.50 and $1.60. |
Reporter: |
And
what are they now? |
Taz Lipscomb: |
I
don't look at them now. I think last time I looked they were 30 cents. It's
not really a nice thing to do, so I try to avoid look at the price of Spike
shares at the moment. |
Reporter: |
They're
half that now. |
Taz Lipscomb: |
Okay.
Fifteen cents? Bargain, why don't you buy some? |
Roger
M: |
Who's
holding onto a stock at the moment waiting for it to go to the price they
paid so that they can get out? Show of hands? Everyone, come on, be honest. |
Reporter: |
Fund
manager Roger Montgomery teaches investment strategy to market novices. His
message? Dotcoms fail the fundamental test of sound investment: that the
price of a company's shares should reflect the income it earns, the
price-earnings ratio. |
Roger
M: |
If
you're going to buy a business, you will pay multiple for that business. Now
what multiple of the earnings should you pay? Seven times? Ten times? If you
pay ten times the earnings of the business, it suggests that at the current
rate of earnings, it'll take ten years for you to get paid back for your
investment using the earnings. |
Reporter: |
The
problem was that dotcoms had little or no earnings. |
Roger
M: |
Now,
the internet stocks we're trading at multiples of 400 times, and 500 times,
and even more. And analysts were coming saying this time is different. This
time is not the same as before. These prices are justified, and the reason
these prices are justified is because it's a new economic era. It's a new era
of prosperity. This is going to change the face of the world. |
Television: |
The
new, new economy won't be like the old new economy. The new- |
Reporter: |
The
new economy promised a revolution in efficiency. The internet would deliver
products and services at a fraction of the old costs. It followed that any
shares in the new economy space could not fail to go up. |
|
Even
shares in Spike, with negative earnings, where the PE ratio was meaningless.
By December 2000, Amazon was worth 20 times more than Barnes and Noble, the
largest bookstore in the US. |
Roger
M: |
The
analysts were saying, "Well, how can we justify these prices?" We
need to put out a research report on this because lots of people want to
invest in it, but how do we justify ridiculous PEs, price-earnings ratios of
400 times. That's tantamount to waiting 400 years at the current rate of
earnings to be paid back for investment. How can we justify that? We'll have to
use some new ratios. |
Speaker
9: |
The
metrics that people were using when they didn't have earnings to rely on were
things like revenue, or number of customers, or number of pages that a
website was actually serving up. So businesses were being valued on how many
pages of content were being looked at on the web. |
Reporter: |
Even
though those pages were probably free? |
Speaker
9: |
They
were almost certainly for free and there was no relationship between pages
and visitors, and visitors and customers, and customers and purchases, and
purchases and margin. |
Television: |
For
miles around the Poseidon leases, companies and individuals have paved other
claims in the hope that the line of the [inaudible] will head their way. |
Reporter: |
It's
no coincidence that some of the specious dotcoms came from the nation's
speculative heartland, the west. |
|
Back
in the '70s, Australia had its very own mining boom and bust. Shares in
Poseidon soared from 75 cents to 280 dollars and back again. |
|
Analyst
Tim Knapton says that the game for tiny mining companies was back door
listing. Just add dotcom to your name, and cash in on the gloat frenzy. |
Tim
Knapton: |
I
guess a lot of us were invited to plush CBD boardrooms to see these mining
companies promote their new electronic wares. And invariably there would be
the refaisant-faced, advanced waistline,
resplendent silk-tied mining veterans who, of course, were only too capable
extolling the virtues of the boom at large. |
|
But
invariably when the questions became more specific, they would defer to an
individual ... almost in the shadows who invariably was thinner, more pallid,
and much more young ... who would be their IT geek. |
Reporter: |
Just
so how many of these spec mining companies did convert? |
Tim
Knapton: |
Gosh,
close to a hundred? |
Reporter: |
Just
how the more dubious dotcoms were allowed to float is a very touchy issue for
the stock exchange. |
|
In
1998, the ASX became a public company in its own right. Its critics point to
a conflict between its role as market supervisor and it's number one priority
... to earn profits from listing and trading. |
|
In
the year the boom peaked, new listings more than doubled, and ASX profits
rose 60 percent. |
Speaker
9: |
The
regulators in Australia at one stage appeared to have been really bullied
into making it easier for businesses to list on the Australian Stock
Exchange. Because it was a very real fear that if they Australia Stock
Exchange could not accommodate these businesses, they would all go to the US
and list on Nasdaq. |
Reporter: |
Australian
listing rules were relaxed. Companies no longer need hard assets, provided
they can raise five million dollars in a float. Not too hard in a boom
market. |
|
The
stock exchanged declined to appear on Four Corners, but in a written
statement denied any conflict of interest, adding, "Were ASK not to have
allowed smaller companies to list, capital raising in Australia would have
been confined only to larger companies. That would mean that innovative
Australia companies would be denied capital and forced off-shore." |
Roger
M: |
Just
because- |
Reporter: |
Roger
Montgomery believes Nasdaq has been much more lenient than the ASX. |
Roger
M: |
During
... I think it was late 1999 ... NetJ.com listed on the Nasdaq. And NetJ.com
in its securities and exchange commissions finding
said, "NetJ.com conducts no business activity of any description.
NetJ.com has no plans of conducting any business activity of any
description." |
|
But
let me say this. During the boom, a lot of people bought that stock at a
dollar. On its first day of listing, it listed at $3.50. Shortly after went
to $7.50 ... 750 percent increase in price, or 650 percent profit, and
there's no business. |
Reporter: |
NetJ.com
is now trading at 20 cents. |
|
Australia
had its own share of irrational exuberance. The country was raining cash in a
climate of economic sunshine. The market hype infected professionals and
punters alike. |
Taz Lipscomb: |
You'd
go to a pub, and you'd hear people talking about over there. You'd go and walk
down the street, they're be people talking about shares, and internet, and
the boom. |
|
I
felt like I didn't want to miss out. And I didn't deserve to miss out and
that I would do it for myself to make sure I didn't miss out. It was a lot of
almost, not peer, but social peer pressure that if you weren't in on this,
you were a fool. You know, there was money to be made and if you didn't come
in on this, you lost your chance. You were just a fool. And I didn't want to
be a fool. |
Reporter: |
On
the broking floor, share trading was in overdrive. Small investors were on
the phone, and as those on the market say, "Where the ducks are
quacking, there's a moral obligation to feed them." |
Speaker
11: |
Phone
calls were becoming, more or less, "Why aren't I making this money?
Everybody else seems to be making it. It seems to be so easy to make. What is
going on here?" |
|
Occasionally,
it was difficult to keep the client's feet on the ground and say, "Well,
look. There are a number of things you really shouldn't be doing here. And by
the way, this 100 thousand dollars that you're popping in ten different
names, how much of your portfolio is this? How much of the assets is
this?" |
|
"Oh,
it's 100 percent! I've just started to get into the market. This is all going
so well!" |
Roger
M: |
The
whole investment premise for internet stocks was pay through the nose for the
stock, and don't worry about it because there'll be a bigger idiot than you
who will actually pay a higher price for it later on. |
Reporter: |
In
April '99, one bank report from Meryl Lynch actually did advise investors
that dotcoms were worth paying through the nose for. |
|
And
punters did just that, especially when news surfaced that a tycoon was
sniffing around a dotcom. |
Tim
Knapton: |
Well,
the grapevine became very effective. In fact, overly effective. You know,
just about every company ... every one of those 250 or so companies was
speculated to be the next Packer or Murdoch takeover [inaudible]. And of
course that was never going to be the case. |
Reporter: |
But
even the bigger players were forced to move online for fear that they might
miss the next thing, or worse ... be taken over by an arrogant startup. For those like bankers, lawyers, and accountants
servicing the boom, it was a money tree, and one full of conflicts. |
Speaker
11: |
When
it's booming, everybody wants to be involved. You're underwriting side, your
corporate side, your private client side, your institutional side ... they
all want to be part of the action. And the pressure does mount from within to
be successful and to be part of it. |
|
And
one has to be extremely careful that the screening process of what we're
doing with regard to floats is still as strong in the boom times as it should
have been, and it is, when we're not so busy. |
Reporter: |
In
the ultimate self-serving twist, the new economy created broking online.
Punters could now trade unassisted and unguided for as little as 15 bucks a
trade. |
|
The
gossip of internet chat rooms, almost impossible to regulate, replaced the
advice of the traditional broker. |
|
But
the most powerful stock rampers were the dotcoms
themselves. With every new event or idea came a press release. |
|
In
the 12 months following the float, Spike had no less than 37 releases through
the stock exchange. |
Tim
Knapton: |
The
regulator really, I guess was taken by surprise as much as the rest of us
because these companies were profusive in their announcements and prolific in
their deals. It was very hard to track as analyst, regulator, or investor,
frankly. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
We
make information more accessible and understandable- |
Reporter: |
Chris
O'Hanlon could talk the talk, and he readily admits using the media. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
Sure,
and let's not forget it was a symbiotic relationship. They needed someone
like me to add credibility to their home industry. And you know, I was great.
I was that sort of that American Steve Jobs-like mouth who really didn't care
what he said. |
Ben
White: |
We
had people like [Beasley] and [Alston] walking through the office wanting to
be part of this sexy new thing, and Chris was the poster boy for Spike. |
Reporter: |
Along
with the hype came the money. Dotcom staff were paid with options to buy
shares cheaply in the future. When the shares went up, they became paper
millionaires. Suddenly, employees were behaving like investors. |
Ben
White: |
Look,
the thing about Spike is that it's a vignette of greed, if you like.
Everybody was being greedy, you know? People bought the shares to make more
money. People floated to make more money. People left jobs for other jobs to
make more money. |
Reporter: |
All
this money came from investors and it was disappearing fast. In the second
half of '99, Spike spent 20 million dollars but earned only seven. |
Speaker
3: |
Well
they were burning ... which is the different between your revenue and your
expenses ... 650 thousand dollars a month, US. |
Reporter: |
That's
a huge amount, isn't it? |
Speaker
3: |
It's
lot of money, yeah. Yeah. |
Nelson
Mandela: |
This
world will eventually be what we want it to be. |
Reporter: |
Spike
wasn't the only big spender. Another Australia dotcom, ISIS communications,
spent five million dollars sponsoring World Reconciliation Day, staring
Nelson Mandela. |
Television: |
Where
can you find your dream job? Hotjobs.com. Thousands of hot jobs at large
companies like Yahoo!, Ebay, and Oracle- |
Reporter: |
And
in the US, dotcoms paid two million US dollars for 30 seconds of advertising
at the Super Bowl. |
|
Spike's
most famous splurge was it's coming out party for Spike Radio in Los Angeles.
It cost a reported 260 thousand US dollars. |
Speaker
9: |
You
really did break new ground in terms of Australia dotcoms having launch
parties. There's never been a bigger one than that. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
That's
at once very sweet and very bitchy. It's interesting. In fact, the truth of
the matter is, there had been several parties like that by web companies. |
Reporter: |
It
wasn't about Chris becoming part of the digerati. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
No,
I was already part of the digerati. I mean, let's ... at least I can
arrogantly assert that. I was already there. |
Reporter: |
By
December '99, cash burn was so serious that the stock exchange demanded
quarterly cash flow statements from all dotcoms. But by then, the rot had set
in. |
|
The
rosy predictions of sales on the net and advertising were failing. At Spike
Radio, no one was listening. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
Certainly
we're talking in tens of thousands rather than millions ... which, let's say
the amount of people that a niche radio station in say, Chicago or Baltimore
is getting. |
Reporter: |
So
you're saying tens of thousands at any one time or over a month? |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
Over
a period of a week or so. In terms of simultaneous listeners, between two and
five thousand. |
Speaker
10: |
Hello,
Spike radio. |
Reporter: |
According
to some ex-Spikers, there were as few as 50. In any event, the audience
wasn't big enough to be counted in industry polls. |
|
But
Spike was burning people as well as cash. Ben, Steven, and Ruby all left the
company. |
Ben
White: |
I
thought Spike really was a dumb idea, to be honest. I knew it was a dumb
idea, and that's how I left. |
Stephen
Murphy: |
After
four and a half, five years of giving my soul and blood, I decided that was enough.
So I resigned. |
Ruby
Blessing: |
I
got sick of fighting for some reality checks. And if that makes me sound kind
of boring and old fashioned ... which I think it did at the time. It was
like, "Oh geez, Ruby. Lighten up." |
Reporter: |
But
the market was still a long way from reality. The media was one of the worst
culprits, hyping a new economy for the new millennium. |
|
Around
the world, punters queued for a piece of the action. In Hong Kong, Tom.com
was 669 times oversubscribed. |
|
Mania
peaked in Australia when dotcom finance angel TiNSHED
called for 60 second pitches from would-be dotcomers,
the so-called elevator pitch. |
Speaker
9: |
The
idea is that if you can buttonhole someone for only one minute, could you
actually get the idea across enough for them to say I'll give you a million
bucks. |
Reporter: |
By
February 2000, Australia new economy industry was worth over 30 billion
dollars. Spike's shares, which started at $1.45, peaked at $3.80. |
Taz Lipscomb: |
Why
didn't I sell them? I thought, they're going up. This is fantastic. They'll
probably go further. Everything's good. Maybe rather than having 10, 11, or
12 thousand, maybe I can get 15 thousand dollars for these. I'll just wait
and see. |
Reporter: |
The
wait cost Taz his investment. Around the Ides of
March last year, Nasdaq stumbled, losing nine percent in a few days. |
|
On
the 14th of April, it plunged another 10 percent. |
Speaker
9: |
I
couldn't believe the numbers we were seeing. I turned on the TV, had to look
at the CNBC or Bloomberg or whatever it was, and I think there was red ink
everywhere. |
Reporter: |
On
April Crash Day, shares in Australia's dotcoms plummeted. Spike was one of
the worst, losing half of its value in one day. |
Roger
M: |
Unfortunately,
the forces of fear are much greater and work much more effectively on
people's investing activity than the forces of greed. Greed takes some time
to disseminate and take hold, but fear is, "Just get me out now."
And everybody runs to the door at the same time. |
Reporter: |
The
press was even louder on the way down. Dot bombs, dot gone, and dot con.
Questions were asked about whether brokers, who make money trading booms or
busts, were profiteering by recommending buys as the market fell. |
Speaker
11: |
I
think profiteering is a very, very strong word. I think inexperienced in
terms of what happens when a blow off occurs and the sell down starts is
probably closer to the facts than any malpractice, certainly. |
Reporter: |
A
year on, dotcom hopefuls are still hitting the streets. So who were the
losers? Well, major companies spooked into big investments by the dotcom
threat and those in the high tech funds created to milk the boom took some
pain. |
|
But
worst hit were average punters, many who invested in the last two months, at
the height of the market. |
Taz Lipscomb: |
The
name Spike ... if you think about it. Spike is a sharp up and a sharp down.
So that was the story of my Spike experience. Very metaphorical. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
I
wonder how many people really did get hurt. I think there were probably some,
but let's remember, so did I. I lost 100 million dollars. |
Reporter: |
You
say you lost 100 million, but you didn't come in at the top. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
No,
that's true. That's true. But, you know, in a sense I came in somewhere a lot
harder. I had to build the company from scratch. |
Reporter: |
What
seems incomprehensible is how forecasts of revenue and spending could have
been so wrong. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
Spike
is going to be the News Corp or the Disney of tomorrow. |
Reporter: |
For
the year to September 2000, Spike lost over 26 million dollars in the US ...
20 million more than the prospectus said it would. |
Stephen
Murphy: |
Our
forecasts were optimistic, not pessimistic. We had succeeded in every
challenge put to date. Why wouldn't we continue in having optimistic forecast
results? With hindsight, maybe they should have been pessimistic. |
Reporter: |
The
Australia Security and Investments Commission has tightened its rules to make
forecasts more conservative. But it took until February of this year to make
the change. |
Speaker
13: |
Well,
it's true. I think that had the current approach to forward-looking financial
information been in place, there may have been less issues go to market. |
|
Now,
that would have raised a different series of issues because in a boom, people
get very upset when they're not allowed to invest. |
Reporter: |
The
regulator is concerned about false and misleading statements in prospectuses,
and threatens to refer some dotcoms to the Director of Public Prosecutions. |
Speaker
13: |
I
would be surprised if there are not at least a few cases that are referred.
Whether they lead to the laying of charges, of course, would then be a matter
for the DPP. |
Reporter: |
Beyond
the prospectus, there is a much bigger issue. How dotcom founders running
public companies with no business experience were allowed to get so out of
control. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
I,
in many ways, became a very, very difficult to begin with because there was
this conflict on one side. There was this public company that was, at that
time, highly successful. And on the other side, there was, for me, a sense
that I had betrayed some collective dreams. And it drove me very much inside
myself. And you know, I arrived in a place where it was very difficult to
emerge in a kind of sane way, so ... |
Reporter: |
The
board sacked Chris O'Hanlon over the crash weekend in April. He had never
made any secret of his manic depression, but there was clearly extravagance
and a claim of sexual harassment, which he strongly denied. |
|
According
to Chris, Spike's directors should take some of the rap for the excesses. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
One
felt that at the time one was getting the right advice, and that one was
trying to make the right decision. Which doesn't abrogate my responsibility
to the CEO, but this wasn't like me saying, "Hey, let's spend more money
here, let's spend more money there." |
Reporter: |
It's
clear that many dotcom directors never understood their duty to shareholders.
Some should have wound up their dotcoms before the money ran out. But the
regulator dismisses calls to raise the bar for directors. |
Speaker
13: |
We've
had this debate many times in Australia, and no government has decided to go
down that track. |
|
And
often what happens is that we go through booms ... people are in favour of
light regulatory touches of prospering economies. Very understandable. But of
course when things downturn and people lose money, everybody's looking for
someone to blame. |
Reporter: |
Dotcom
collapses are now weekly events. In fact, one of the global industry's most
popular these days is a US underground gossip site that charts the failures. |
Chris
O'Hanlon: |
I
actually love it. I say that despite having, I think, several pages devoted
to some of my lesser-known vices and traits. But, it's fair to say that
nearly everything that's on there is accurate to a degree. Almost
uncomfortably ... well, absolutely uncomfortably so. |
Reporter: |
And
so does Spike deserve a place on Fuckedcompany.com? |
Tim
Knapton: |
Well
it's certainly in the kennel in terms of being a performance dog. It reached
the market cap, at the top of my head, of something like 160 million back in
the halcyon days of February last year. And it's now down to less than 5
percent of that. So a lot of very disappointed investors, yes. |
Reporter: |
It
wasn't just investors that lost out. Dotcom employees go their marching
orders and boom parties turned into pink slip parties. In the US, at least 50
thousand lost their jobs. When the crunch came, Spike's LA office was
downsized from 60 to 12. |
Speaker
3: |
I
mean it was anger. Nothing short of anger. I would have, on a couple of
occasions I had people shouting at me, telling me I didn't understand. And
so, I mean ... It was because their expectations had been dashed. They
thought that by getting into this business, they could become incredibly
wealthy, incredibly quickly. And never work again. |
|
It
was always that sort of talk. Never work again. |
Reporter: |
So
far, Spike is a survivor. It has sold down part of its stake in Spike Radio
and is back where it started: web design and consultancy ... With a new CEO. |
Speaker
14: |
Reflect
upon it. Rationalisation has struck. We have survived the tech wreckage.
We're standing tall. We have good commercial backing. And we still have at
the heart of ourselves our traditional core competencies. I see that as a
pretty good mix ... pretty good chemistry ... for success going forward. |
Reporter: |
Like
Spike, the rest of the local digerati are licking their wounds. |
Speaker
15: |
I
would say upbeat, but I'm fairly balanced. |
Reporter: |
One
year after the crash, this anniversary breakfast is oversubscribed. Just like
the floats that were going to make them millionaires. But most now work in
traditional companies that are swallowing dotcoms or growing their own net
businesses. |
|
The
new mantra is ... Clicks and bricks, dotcoms merging with blue chips. Last
year in Australia, two billion dollars worth of
goods and services were bought over the net. True believers say they'll be
back. |
|
As
for the dotcom punters, many of them didn't even read prospectuses. Those
that took the tip from the cabbie last year have only themselves to blame. |
Speaker
4: |
If
I'd known now, what I ... you know, two years ago. I'd have lots of money
now. |
Speaker
5: |
We
wouldn't have lost out with dotcoms. |
Speaker
4: |
Yeah,
we lost so much there. |
Reporter: |
Now
small investors are looking for better ways to manage their money. But if
history is any guide, this won't be the last boom and bust. |
Roger
M: |
It's
happened before. It will continue to happen. And people will make the same
mistakes that they've made in the past. |
Stephen
Murphy: |
Where
do you want to go today Charley? |
|
I
lost a lot of money on the internet. I still ... like Ruby. My shares are
held in escrow. I wouldn't a new tyre, I think, with the number of shares I
have in the cart. |
Reporter: |
There's
no love lost between the three founders of Spike. The original deal gave
Chris most of the shares. But it's symbolic that all three see their future
in web design. The industry survives, if somewhat more modestly than
predicted. |
Tim
Knapton: |
That's
what we're seeing in previous booms ... whether it's radio, or railroad, or
TV, or even the tulip boom or whatever. The companies, the handful that
survive, turn into big conglomerates. And those that are lucky enough to pick
those stocks do very well over many, many years. |
Reporter: |
Four
hundred years after tulip-mania, tulips are still thriving in Holland. The
Dutch dominance of the world industry is the legacy of their crazy boom. The
dotcom believers say their industry is now taking root. |
|
A
tulip, by any of name. |