i

Try man drinking beer back of truck UGC here

Link: https://twitter.com/mattbunney77/status/1349346031020883972

Source:

Aus_0004.Makeshift.pool.in.back.of.truck

CREDIT: TikTok @bradwhite7

j

AUS 0006

Slip and Slide to beat Aussie heatwave

CREDIT: Twitter @jamesjumbuck

AUS 0027_Bats.Bats.die.from.heat.exhaustion

CREDIT: Twitter @kaylamarie413

Koala takes water bottle from man, drinks.

Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OBHNrHe53tQ

Source:

AUS_0008.Heat.affected.Koala.holds.mans.hand.whilst.being.fed.water

CREDIT: YT Diamond Antics

Replace this with new Koala crossing road and audio from another clip [2] 

CREDIT: FB Help Save the Wildlife and Bushlands in Campbelltown

k

Fire UGC

CREDIT:

YT India MacDonell

l

LIFE OVER 50 DEGREES C:

Hitting Home

1

68C

CAPTION:

East Gippsland, Victoria

Drone shots of house

GFX - smaller place caption

3

In: 00:11:52:06

INDIA:  it just, yeah, it was extremely hot and everyone was starting to get worried day by day until it happened.

Out: 00:12:13:03

Drone shots and india in vision

4

NEWS ITEM - HEATWAVE INCREASING RISK TO FIREGROUND

AUS 0202

- https://youtu.be/pSC6CcTDyYc

TAke from the first 11 seconds: ‘Temperatures will peak in the 40s CUT

‘making conditions even worse on our fire grounds’

Caption: Christmas 2019

5

Caption:

In 2020, Australia had a catastrophic bushfire season

CREDIT:

YT India MacDonell

GFX factual caption size

6

In: 00:37:05:00

INDIA: Okay. Umm, so the footage that I took of the fire was shot on the GoPro that I had actually got for Christmas five days before the event.

Out: 00:37:18:10

ASTON: India MacDonell

CREDIT:

YT India MacDonell

GFX name caption

7

In: 00:16:28:01

Sean: It was on a very hot day to begin with, um, so that made the fire, I think, um, a lot more aggressive.

Out: 00:16:41:12

ASTON: Shaun MacDonell

India’s dad

GFX name caption

8

INDIA: in the afternoon I got the first glimpse of the fire coming over one of the mountains in front of us,

it then started behind our house. And I was just standing up there looking at everything on fire, thinking shit, this is happening. I need to get off the roof now and start fighting.

Out: 00:32:39:06

CREDIT:

YT India MacDonell

9

In: 00:22:32:15

the fire was just too intense and out of my control, and if India had been in earshot at the time, I was wanting her to, to get into that fire shelter and just give up.  It’s, it’s over, we’re, you know, we’ve done the best we can.

Out: 00:23:05:22

CREDIT:

YT India MacDonell

10

INDIA

it did get really intense and there was, yeah,I thought we were going to lose the house. Um, but I just calmed down for a second and it just kept…the fire kept going up the mountain

Out: 00:22:29:11

CREDIT:

YT India MacDonell

11

Shaun off cameraI imagine this will be the same a long way ...

In: 00:36:24:00

SHAUN: ADD  Through this particularly valley, .it has completely and utterly changed the landscape here for the rest of my life, if not forever.

Out: 00:36:37:23

as far as any of the, the tall trees, um, mostly all of them have been wiped out,  (nb same paragraph but later)

INTERVIEWER: What sort of damage did the fire do to this valley?

SHAUN:  The fire actually, as it came through this particular area, um, was like a, a belt of fire that moved from the west to the east, basically, over a few days.  The edge of that fire is maybe 3 kilometres to the north of us and above that there’s, it’s, it’s unburnt.  But through this particular valley here, um, it has um, mostly all of them have been wiped out,

12

India footage wrecked houses in neighbourhood

CREDIT:

YT India MacDonell???

Caption:

India and her dad managed to save their home, but at least 3,000 other houses were lost in the 2020 fires.

https://www.directrelief.org/2020/06/six-months-after-australias-wildfires-recovery-continues/#:~:text=The%202019%E2%80%932020%20Australian%20bushfire,killing%20at%20least%2034%20people.

https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6574563/australias-2019-20-bushfire-season/

Source: AFAC

Scientists say the risk of fire weather  is 30% higher than 100 years ago because of climate change.

Source: World Weather Attribution

https://www.google.com/search?q=World+Weather+Attribution+Australian+bushfires+climate+change&oq=World+Weather+Attribution+Australian+bushfires+climate+change&aqs=chrome..69i57.12986j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8

13

1.   AUS_0192.weather.report.christmas.day.mp4

01:45 - “Right still in the middle of this heat wave, as we head into the Christmas period

CREDIT: Bureau of Meteorology

14

Sarah Kirkpatrick home movie.

Sarah to daughter:  That’s what happens if you wake up at 5.30  and don’t sleep in your bed….  Look in your Santa Sack…

Source: Kirkpatrick-xmas-2.mov

NB:  Play clip from start. Video is sideways initially, that’s fine.

In:

00:00:00

Sarah’s daughters open xmas stockings

CREDIT: Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick

Caption:

December 2020

15

Current cut: 01 20

Sarah Kirkpatrick Master Interview.

Sarah: So there’s very strong evidence, irrefutable evidence in fact that the climate of Australia has changed, (especially over the last 50 to 70 years.

I specialize in heat waves, so I study how heat waves have changed over time in the past and the future and what’s causing those changes.

Source: P1011415

In: 00:00:41

Out:

00:00:52

Sync.

Caption: 

Dr Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick

Climate Scientist | University of NSW

16

SARAH:

[...] some people think that you know we’re…we’re…we’re boffins and we’re not actually real people.

Source: P1011415

In:

00:13:17

Out:

00:13:33

17

Sarah Kirkpatrick interview

Sarah: I…I have two young children, I have a two-year-old and a four-year-old daughter. Um it really bothers me that the world that they're experiencing now is a lot different to mine.

my childhood

Source: P1011415

Upsync from home movie opening of Christmas sacks cont.

Source:  Kirkpatrick-xmas-2.mov

Intercut with her home video

Source: Kirkpatrick-xmas-2.mov

CREDIT: Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick

Water bottles taken out of stocking.

CREDIT: Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick

18

Current cut: 06 00 approx

Sarah:   I’ve experienced days of 45 and 47 degrees Celsius and that was appalling, it was atrocious, you couldn’t do anything, the only way we could stay cool in western Sydney was to have the aircon running all day and that was a really hard thing for me to do.

Source: P1011415

In:

00:28:37

Out:

00:28:45

Sync.

h

19

Current cut: 02 35

Sarah: Um during my first pregnancy during the summer it was so hot that I actually struggled to go and put the washing on the line.

Sources:

P1011415 [Tight shot]

P1005412 [Wide shot]

Sarah:  And you know while I was literally about to bring this child into the world, I was thinking, what the, will the summers be like for her in the future.

Source: P1011415

END FUTURE

CREDIT: Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick

221

Aus 0016

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mF1vKH310Vo

See newsreader in vision briefly

22

Suburbs, Box Hill / Jordan Springs

Sources:

Very hot looking slate roofs shots in Folder called

‘Kellyville & other housing estates PRHQ CX350’

A020C012_210118_B92Q.mov

A020C010_210118_B92Q.mov

A020C017_210118_B92Q.mov

Etc.

For Suburban Drone footage see

DJI_0025_fix

And all files in folder called ‘Harls Drone Jordan Springs Day One PRHQ copy’

More good drone of suburbs (with dried grass) see folder ‘Drone Aerials Box Hill PRHQ’

DJI_0013.mov

DJI_0014.mov

DJI_0015.mov

DJI_0016.mov

CAPTION:

On 4 January 2020, Penrith, Western Sydney was the hottest place on Earth.

Australian Bureau of Meteorology

23

Dr Sebastian.

Thermal drone takes off over Box Hill suburb.

Caption: 

Dr Sebastian Pfausch

Urban Heat Scientist | University of Western Sydney

Establishing Dr Sebastian. Dr Sebastian controls drone which takes off over the houses.

Sources:

Establishing Sebastian - driving up to the housing estates see folder ‘Sebastian driving B Roll’

Establishing Sebastian - putting on suncream and hat.

P1011164_fix.mov

Establishing Sebastian - flying drone, take-off.

P1011106_fix.mov

More drone take-offs in folder ‘Drone Sequence Setting Up Cam B PRHQ GH5’

24

Dr Sebastian Master Interview,  intercut with his thermal drone shots of Box Hill. [Use wide shot].

13 37 33 ….because population increase in Sydney is continuing and has been err very large in scale over several decades now, the only way that we can expand is towards the west and this is what the city is basically doing, it’s spreading out west, and by doing that it’s err covering or transforming former, agricultural land and

Dr Sebastian:

We’re consuming an enormous amount of space to put a few people in, because Until today The Australian dream which comes from the late forties, early fifties, where you had your half acre, or acre block and your own house, this Australian dream continues in times when we know that this Australian dream as we built it out west, could become basically Australia’s nightmare. 

you need a car to actually get from your house to work because we’re also not providing work where you live, you have to commute. Also there are no shops.

Source: P1003959

In: 13:41:40

Out:

13:42:15

Normal drone shots intercut with the thermal drone shots.

Sources:

See folder ‘ Sebastian Drone Jordan Springs Boronia Pk Jan 12th 2021’

DJI_0007.mov

DJI_0008.mov

DJI_0011.mov

DJI_0012.mov

Please lengthen this shot so that there’s a pause in sync and we can put a caption saying: 

60 degrees centigrade

by a red roof

25

Sebastian driving in his car through the suburbs.

Sebastian: I mean, you don’t see anyone outside. I don’t see any kids playing outside.

Source: P1011404

In:

00:22:44

Out:

00:22:49

Sync.

Dr Sebastian: they even put until today, black roofs on top of these houses, and then they built them so close together that you have no more space left to actually put trees in, which is crazy when you think of the next twenty or thirty years where we know it’s getting just hotter out there.

Source: P1003959.mov

Use high building driving shots which are currently used under aircon line

27

MOVE:

Aircon sync

In Australia we’re producing our electricity largely through fossil fuels so we’re burning all these fossil fuels by having our air conditioning running flat out

CUT Caption:

gettyimages-1279698130-640_adpp

gettyimages-1279725977-640_adpp

gettyimages-545062448-640_adpp

gettyimages-968086368-640_adpp

CREDIT: Getty Images

27A

NEW

P1003964 Proxy STARTS 15 09 55

to collect and retain storm water within those suburbs so it’s not just the houses, um that we want to change but it’s the general construction of what these suburbs could do as a function for cooling and then of course when I talked about building wide and flat, that is something that my research shows should also change into something that is more dense and high, so we should stop building individual hot boxes and we should start building what is called heat smart density in terms of housing that looks like five to fifteen storey high buildings, in clusters, where around these um, settlements where you can have two thousand or three thousand people living, you will have parks and lakes, and creeks

27B

Time passing shot…

P1003963 Proxy STARTS

14:49:52

cheap houses, often because there is not enough money available to

actually afford um, higher quality houses, but there could be simple changes made, and these changes relate to materials.

P1003963 Proxy STARTS

14 53

Several projects are underway where we actually try to demonstrate how change can look like, people need to see that. One of the projects where we are demonstrating change is the cool roads trail together with three local governments in Western Sydney, where these governments have painted residential streets or car parks with a reflective paint

27C

Dr Seb : Let’s take the heat stress trackers, put them out on this cool street, and collect some measurements on this stinking hot day

Drone shot cont.

27D

Dr Seb: This yellow concrete is only about 60 degrees which is about ten degrees cooler than the asphalt on the road which is really interesting,

In vision

27E

Dr Seb Three or four more days of measurements in here, that should tell us something.

27F

They removed all the bitumen and you can see the different surface materials, bringing in the verges, planting more trees…

Probably even helping the people to understand they’re living on a cool street by promoting this more.  So I think it’s a great idea.

27

This is now earlier :

Aircon sync

In Australia we’re producing our electricity largely through fossil fuels so we’re burning all these fossil fuels by having our air conditioning running flat out

Caption:

Australia is one of the world's biggest carbon emitters per capita

28

AUS 0168 vlogger describes heat

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=19h4ZJ01qIU

Around 00 20s

It’s a very hot day today in Wollongong, it’s boiling and I’m wearing barely any clothes, we’re just going to the mall!

CREDIT: YT Daniela Monteiro Rebelo

Aus 0137 01 15 roughly: Everyone is in the shopping centre trying to get free aircon

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_8zw82KYSY

CREDIT: YT TwoSetViolin

AUS 0124 DOG REFUSES TO GET OUT OF FRIDGE

CREDIT: TikTok @maeganmcfall

29

Caption:

The heat in the suburbs is affecting other inhabitants too.

30

Bat deaths UGC

Person: I’ve given them water but I don’t know what to do, this one died.  We’ve had many that have died.

Links:

https://twitter.com/MaryLloyd4/status/830694994323202049

https://twitter.com/The_lasagne/status/1213301656902725632

Sources:

AUS 0028_Bats.Woman.finds.dead.bats.in.her.garden

AUS 0029_Bats.Death.of.bats.in.Singleton.Greater.Western Sydney

AUS_0191.Bats.dying.in.trees (not used in the end)

Bats in trees in back gardens.

Caption:

Western Sydney, 2020

CREDIT: Twitter @The_lasagne

CREDIT: Twitter @MaryLloyd4

31

Justin Welbergen Master Interview intercut with bats.

Justin Welbergen: So going through the historical records, we found that a common temperature beyond which this mass mortality events occur is 42 degrees so when it comes to flying foxes you know 42  is sort of life, the universe and everything um beyond 42 degree um mortality increases um substantially.

Source: P1004691_wide

In:

00:01:09

Out:

00:01:23

Caption:

Justin Welbergen | Bat ecologist, University of Western Sydney

32

Dead bat  UGC

Voice behind camera: They’re native, they shouldn’t be struggling like this.

Pictures

https://twitter.com/kaylamarie413/status/1229209615260409863

Source:

AUS 0027_Bats.Bats.die.from.heat.exhaustion

Voice

AUS 0031

https://twitter.com/humbleminion/status/1208001057567080448

“This is what climate change looks like, ladies and gentlemen.”

Bats dead on ground

CREDIT: Twitter @kaylamarie413

CREDIT: Twitter @humbleminion

33

Justin: The most recent major event was back In 2018, November 2018 when up to one third of the entire Australian spectacled flying fox population just died in a matter of two days, two hot afternoons.   Just like that.

Source: P1004692

AUS 0030

https://twitter.com/peakaustria/status/831416963993915393

CREDIT: Twitter @peakaustria

In:

00:02:39

Out:

00:03:33

Add More bat UGC HERE

Sources:

For our PD Harls’ shots of bats see:

‘Flying Fox Overlay PRHQ CX350’

[C - see what Harls has put on drive]

34

Justin: So over the last few years,  [add: ***WE***] have begun installing sprinklers in flying fox camps in the hope that they can prevent some of the worst of the mortality.

NB please find the word ‘We’ and add it here to make the sentence work better.

Source: P1004692

In:

00:05:25

Out:

00:05:49

Best shot of sprinker and bats CU

Sources:

Folder ‘Sprinklers Turned on(with Slates) PRHQ CX350’

A025C023_210308_B92Q.mov

Folder ‘WaterCam of Sprinklers Cine D PRHQ GH5’

P1033422.mov

[C - see what Harls has put on drive]

34B

Australia has the world’s second highest carbon emissions per head. *

*World Bank

Australia has the highest carbon emissions per person of the world’s rich nations

Among the world's rich nations, Australia has the highest[3] [4]  carbon emissions per person.

Source: Reuters

gettyimages-1316145878-640_adpp

It’s also the world’s second largest exporter of coal.

*Statista

gettyimages-1210214273-640_adpp

https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/10296/economics/top-co2-polluters-highest-per-capita/

35

(this is the report referenced: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/dec/11/australia-ranked-worst-of-57-countries-on-climate-change-policy)

MOVE FIRST

AUS0208

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Xr2AKQq8dA

00 50

Scott Morrison: Our goal is to reach zero emissions as soon as possible, hopefully by 2050.

Moved second

Rejigged archive section

From Aus 0200

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=az5DxWKjQco

Reporter: 01 13 an international report has Australia at the very bottom of policies that protect the climate, trailing countries like Iran, Russia and China.

Caption over new shots of Scott Morrison from here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Xr2AKQq8dA

Australia’s PM Scott Morrison rejected the 2020 International Climate Change Index report as not ‘credible’.

Here is Scott Morrison’s response:

https://germanwatch.org/en/17452

35A

News story cont. 00200

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=az5DxWKjQco

Opposition leader: If he said we were doing better than anyone else, he must have looked at the table upside down.

35B

AUS0208

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Xr2AKQq8dA

09 s The Morrison Government said it was committed to achieving zero emissions but with no concrete timeframe.

*

35B

MOVE HERE

AUS0208

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Xr2AKQq8dA

00 50

Scott Morrison: Our goal is to reach zero emissions as soon as possible, hopefully by 2050.

36

Driving shots motorway

Sarah’s family has now left Western Sydney

37

Home movie Canberra

Sarah: The house is looking better, apart from ‘the girls’ playroom that’s still a bombsite’ but thats okay we’ll get to that, it will probably look like that most of the time anyway, maybe I shouldn’t even bother unpacking

.

No!

Caption:

They are in a temporary rental in Canberra, a cooler city.

CREDIT: Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick

38

MOVED

Sarah Kirkpatrick Master Interview.

Sarah: As a scientist I know how bad the future looks, I know that we’re not going to reduce our emissions to make two degrees warming by the end of this century, I know that we’re probably going to reach three or four degrees and I know what that means for how many more heatwaves we’re going to see and how much hotter those heatwaves will be.

The script above isn’t currently what we have in the video. I suggest the following to work with the current structure:

I know that we’re not going to reduce our emissions to make two degrees warming by the end of this century, I know that we’re probably going to reach three or four degrees and I know what that means for how many more heatwaves we’re going to see and how much hotter those heatwaves will be. I know what that means for our ecosystems.

This still removes 2 “I know”s.

Source: P1011415

In:

00:34:24

Out:

00:34:41

Home movie for upsync

CREDIT: Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick

39

Home Video.

Sarah: Sweetheart you’re meant to be unpacking not packing

Source: 20210409_145150.mp4

In:

00:10

Out:

00:14

Sync. 

CREDIT: Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick

40

MOVED FROM LATER 

Home Video cont.

Little girl talking.

Source: 20210409_145150.mp4

 In:

 1:30

Out:

2:06

41

Sarah Kirkpatrick Master Interview.

Sarah: I know what that means for our ecosystems, I know what that means for sea level rise and I know what that means for the Great Barrier Reef.

CHEATED FROM EARLIER: ADD:

As a scientist I know how bad the future looks,

 I understand all that, I comprehend all that, that’s what I study every single day,

Sarah: I think I’ll be using this desk and daddy will be using this desk.

But as a mum, as a person, I guess, as a human being, I really struggle with just how bad those impacts will be.

Source: P1011415

In:

00:34:41

Out:

00:34:53

START THE DRONE SHOTS AT THE END OF THIS - IE GET HER TO THE HOUSE LOCATION A BIT SOONER

43

India: I'm worried for my future.

(DRONE SHOTS OF INDIA’S HOUSE)

I'm worried that this house won't be here in another five years and I'm worried that no one really cares enough to do anything, um. People are just greedy. 

Out: 00:44:21:07

44

Plot of land - DRONE SHOTS THEN GROUND LEVEL SHOTS

NEW CAPTION:

Sarah is building an eco-friendly home on this plot.  The whole new suburb will use renewable energy.

45

Sarah Kirkpatrick Master Interview.   SEE IN VISION

Sarah:  I also struggle with accepting that as well, uh and I think that’s because I know we have caused the problems and I know we also hold the key to the solutions, but we don’t seem to be doing enough of putting those solutions into place, t…to make it a better situation..that’s what I struggle with.

Source: P1011415

In:

00:35:06

Out:

00:35:21

46

Audio from ground level.

Source: P1033456.mov

Drone footage of Sarah and family arriving on new plot.

Sources:

DJI_0041.mov

DJI 0042.mov

47

MOVED EARLIER

Sarah and family arrive at the empty plot where they’ll build a house.

MOVED TO HERE

and our new house is going to be awesome, it’s going to be solar efficient and a white roof and lots of insulation and orientated the right way and we’re going to buy an electric car, when we can buy it.. .

Sync Clap @ 13:34:28

Sarah: So, what, what plants do you think we should plant in our back yard in our new house?

Child: Strawberries.

Sarah: You want strawberries. What else? What else do you like to eat that we can grow in our yard?

Child: Ummm

Dad: How about some apples?

13:35:26

Sarah: Ooh, mummy likes apples.

Source: P1033456.mov

In:

13:35:05

Out:

13:35:36

In:

13:39:24

Out:

13:39:30

Ground level dialogue, family look round site.  Video shows drone shot of family from above.

Sources:

DJI_0041.mov

DJI 0042.mov

Return to Sarah and family drone shot or conversation about biscuits

New caption over drone shots or something similar 

7 out of 10 Australians want their government to take more action on the climate.

Source: Lowy Institute 2021

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/may/26/seven-in-10-australians-want-government-to-take-more-action-on-climate-survey-finds

SCRIPT / MONICA

SOURCES FOUND BY CECI 14.6.21

FINAL QUOTE SUGGESTIONS

2021 is set to be one the hottest years on Earth.*

*https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/2021-global-temperatures-la-nina-met-office-b1776214.html

*Met Office

Here’s the original Met Office source that the Independent quoted:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2020/2021-global-temperature-forecast

“The Met Office annual global temperature forecast for 2021 suggests that next year will once again enter the series of the Earth’s hottest years.”

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2020

No change needed

Australia now has 5 times more extremely hot days than 30 yrs ago

*Australia Met Office

The original source for this quote was this Guardian article

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2020/feb/27/killer-heat-how-a-warming-land-is-changing-australia-forever

The quote is this:

Karl Braganza, the Bureau of Meteorology's manager of climate monitoring, says the number of extreme heat days — those hotter than 35C — has increased five-fold in just the past 30 years.

Date: Feb 2020

—

New Source: From the BOM official info pack sent to me by Sarah for 2021:

http://www.bom.gov.au/state-of-the-climate/australias-changing-climate.shtml#:~:text=Australia%27s%20weather%20and%20climate%20are,warmer%20than%20the%20ones%20before

“Very high monthly maximum temperatures that occurred nearly 2 per cent of the time in 1960–1989 and over 4 per cent of the time in 1990–2004, now occur over 12 per cent of the time (2005–2019). This is more than a sixfold increase over the sixty-year period.”

Option 1.

Change ‘Australia Met Office’ to “Australian Bureau of Meteorology”

Change ‘Extremely hot’ to ‘very hot’

Change: ‘5 times’ to ‘6’

Source: BOM

NB there is no ‘Australian Met Office - its called BOM [Bureau of Meteorology]

Option 2. 

Seek confirmation from Sarah (and her colleague Karl Braganza) and use original quote.

The 2020 fires destroyed 2779 homes.

I’ve found loads of conflicting numbers

The 2779 number comes from Wikipedia. Here:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019–20_Australian_bushfire_season

The 19-20 bushfires “destroyed over 5,900 buildings (including 2,779 homes.”

—

The Wiki article quotes this Canberra times article, which itself has a different number of homes:  https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6574563/australias-2019-20-bushfire-season/

“On 12 February 2020 the NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) reported that 2,439 homes had been destroyed in NSW.”

Date: 10th Jan 2020

___

The Australian Government Website has a page of FAQs about the 19-20 Wildfires. 

https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Library/pubs/rp/rp1920/Quick_Guides/AustralianBushfires

It lists 2 different numbers, one for Australia, one for NSW:

“A tweet by AFAC published on 28 February 2020 stated that a total of 3,094 houses had been lost across NSW, Victoria, Queensland, ACT, Western Australia and South Australia. On 12 February 2020 the NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) reported that 2,439 homes had been destroyed in NSW.”

AFAC news, quoted on government website link here https://twitter.com/AFACnews/status/1233262259612213248

—

Recent articles in the ABC seem to say ‘3000 homes’ were burnt. 

Link: https://www.abc.net.au/triplej/programs/hack/black-summer-bushfire-mental-health-lifeline/13350668

Date: 19 May 2021

__

The Conversation also says 3000 homes. Date: March 2021.

https://theconversation.com/a-staggering-1-8-million-hectares-burned-in-high-severity-fires-during-australias-black-summer-157883

I can’t find a single, abiding,  official number. 

Suggest we either say 3000 in editorial line with recent articles from ABC and The Conversation.

Or 3094 in line with AFAC News (quoted on Aus .Gov website).

Scientists say the risk of bushfires is 30% higher than 100 years ago because of climate change.

Source: World Weather Attribution

Yes this checks out.

Here’s the WWA source:  https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2020-03-12-australia-s-bushfires-made-30-more-likely-climate-change

Actual phrasing they use is:

“The risk of intense fire weather has increased by 30% since 1900 as a result of anthropogenic climate change.”

Suggest adding ‘Anthropogenic’ climate change.

Also, risk of ‘fire weather’ is not exactly the same as risk of ‘fire’.

Suggest changing to:

“Scientists say the risk of intense fire weather is 30% higher than in 1900 as a result of (anthropogenic) climate change.”

Source: WWA

In January 2020, Penrith, Western Sydney was the hottest place on Earth.

*Australia Met Office

Sources that back this up:

Daily Mail

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7850899/Penrith-hottest-place-earth-Saturday-reaching-48-9C.html

Date: Jan 2020

----

SBS News

https://www.sbs.com.au/news/sydney-s-penrith-the-hottest-place-on-earth-amid-devastating-bushfires

Date: Jan 2020

---

Australian Daily Telegraph

https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/newslocal/penrith-press/penrith-hits-record-temperature-of-485c-as-heatwave-strikes-nsw/news-story/dcf054647fa47a6fb4e8195515d835fc

---

Sydney News

https://sydneynews.sydney/sydney-news/hottest-place-on-the-planet-sydney-weather-50c-day/5664/

A few of them seem to be quoting this University of Western Australia Professor Ray Wills, who tweeted that Penrith was the hottest place on earth that day.

---

*** 9NEWS

https://www.9news.com.au/national/little-relief-in-sydney-after-hottest-day-in-79-years/73b3ddcc-a59b-4b1b-9b55-6a6c265f3f3f

The Bureau of Meteorology has confirmed that Sydney was "the hottest place on earth" when the temperature peaked at 47.3 degrees yesterday.

Penrith in Sydney's west hit the temperature record of the hottest place on earth in the 24 hours leading up to it at 1.55pm.

"Obviously yesterday afternoon the hottest places were in Australia because it was night or early morning in other possible candidates including southern Africa and South America but it didn't get close to 47 degrees in either region once it was daytime," A BOM spokesman said.

"It is in fact quite normal in summer for the world's highest temperatures to occur in Australia. I's guess it would probably happen on 60 to 70 per cent of summer days. What's unusual is that the highest temperatures in Australia were in the Sydney area."

Think with 3 sources we can say it was the hottest.

NB it was hottest on one day in January - not the whole of January.

Small concern that original wording implies it was hottest for whole of Jan.

Suggest amending to:

“On the January 4th 2020, Penrith, Western Sydney was the hottest place on Earth.”

Source: BOM  / 9News

Justin: The most recent major event was back In 2018, November 2018 when up to one third of the entire Australian spectacled flying fox population just died in a matter of two days, two hot afternoons.   Just like that.

Source: P1004692

Here's a BBC Article which backs the claim:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-46859000

NB: Justin Welbergen is used as a source for this BBC article.

Technically it’s ‘Almost’ one third of the population.  The BBC phrases it as: 

How one heatwave killed 'a third' of a bat species in Australia

By putting ‘a third’ in quotation marks.

—

And here’s an ABC article also quoting Justin:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-19/heat-wipes-out-one-third-of-flying-fox-species/10632940

Here Justin is quoted again explaining: “"The population size of the spectacled flying fox in Australia is estimated to be about 75,000 individuals, give or take, so for all intents and purpose that means we have lost close to a third of the entire species in Australia.”

Suggest we keep as is.

Australia has the world’s second highest carbon emissions per head. *

*World Bank

This was a confusing one. I couldn’t find the World Bank statistic. Reuters (at the bottom) seems best for preserving gist of original quote.

--

According to the Union of Concerned Scientists, Australia was 3rd highest CO2 emitter per capita in 2018:

https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/each-countrys-share-co2-emissions

—

BBC Article:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-50869565

“Australia is one of the world's biggest per capita greenhouse gas emitters”

Date: Jan 2020

—

Our World In Data

https://ourworldindata.org/per-capita-co2

Date: Oct 2019

The world’s largest per capita CO2 emitters are the major oil producing countries; this is particularly true for those with relatively low population size. Most are in the Middle East: In 2017 Qatar had the highest emissions at 49 tonnes (t) per person, followed by Trinidad and Tobago (30t); Kuwait (25t); United Arab Emirates (25t); Brunei (24t); Bahrain (23t) and Saudi Arabia (19t).

However, many of the major oil producers have a relatively small population meaning their total annual emissions are low. More populous countries with some of the highest per capita emissions – and therefore high total emissions – are the United States, Australia, and Canada. Australia has an average per capita footprint of 17 tonnes, followed by the US at 16.2 tonnes, and Canada at 15.6 tonnes.

--

World Resources Institute

https://www.wri.org/insights/interactive-chart-shows-changes-worlds-top-10-emitters

This website shows the top 10 emitters per capita and Australia isn’t on the list.

—

*** Reuters:

https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/australias-carbon-emissions-drop-5-2020-2021-05-31/

“However Australia, the largest per-capita emitter among the world's richest nations”

This Reuters line was then picked up by lots of sources, and is also recent, and makes sense in relation to other facts I found.

Date: 30th May 2021

Suggest updating quote to fall in line with Reuters:

“Australia is the largest per-capita emitter among the world's richest nations”

Source: Reuters

It’s also the world’s second largest exporter of coal.

*Statista

Source Found and verified:

https://www.statista.com/chart/20587/biggest-coal-exporters/

Date: May 21 2021

2nd Source - International Energy Agency

https://www.iea.org/reports/coal-information-overview

July 2020

Suggest we keep as is.

7 out of 10 Australians want their government to take more action on the climate.

Source: Lowy Institute

Source found and verified:

Guardian

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/may/26/seven-in-10-australians-want-government-to-take-more-action-on-climate-survey-finds

Date:  25 May 2021

Guardian is quoting the Lowy Institute Survey:

https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/paying-price-australians-want-action-climate-change

“Seven in ten Australians say Australia should join other countries, such as the US and the UK, in increasing commitments to address climate change ahead of the UN Climate Change conference (COP26) later this year in Glasgow.”

Date: 26 May 2021

Suggest we keep as is.