Chaos Theory

STUDENTS RIP AT GOLKAR SIGN

(MUSIC? OVER DEMO)

Indonesia’s presidential power-struggle is spinning dangerously out of control.

Some protestors are working with those who want the country’s first democratically elected leader dismissed…

…Others part of an organisatin that vows to defend him at all costs..

But both sides are now using chaos and violence as political weapons in a calculated battle over the presidency that’s being waged on three fronts.

FOR IMACT – THREE DIFFERENT IDEAS – WITH MUSIC

1) WAHID T7.10.38

…A parliamentary impeachment that could see the president sacked by June…

2) XMAS BOMBINGS: FILE F

A deadly, unprecedented bombing campaign in the Javanese heartland…

3) AMBON – TROOPS SHOOTING

T37.27.50 OR AMBON TAPE A

And the military’s deliberate use of violence in war-ravaged provinces like the Malukus.

**ELITE WEDDING

T23.-T24

WAHID ENTERS 23.21.56

Blind, frail and erratic Aburrahman Wahid’s administration is flawed – at times compromised by some of those he relies on.

But from all of Jakarta’s political elite – Wahid is so far the only leader who’s shown any sign of wanting to take Indonesia in a new direction.

SYNCH WAHID I/V:

Fourth answer T13

CUT GRAB

If it’s my style it can be changed any time

…/// CUT TO /// but trying to make me step down from the presidency is very dangerous for the democratisation process we have you see I’m not interested in the office as such but as a way for democratisation for rule of law

MAP: INDONESIA

JAKARTA

AMBON, KESUI

REFUGEES IN HALL*CLD USE WRESTLING ON TV

REFUGEES T35.33.43 OR 37.9.00

MARIA WITH KIDS T37.10.30

(UPSOT FROM HALL TV T35.36.0?)

Mother of three Maria Etlegar is among one million Indonesians forced from their homes by what appears to be ethnic and religious hatred – but which often has its roots in deliberate provocation …

…she was among eight hundred Christians threatened with death - if they refused to convert to Islam.

Synch maria

**SHORTEN GRAB

T38: 19.39 They said they would slaughter us all if we resisted in our faith, they would kill us. But I still retain belief in my one god 19.56

Maria with daughters

T37.10.30 OR 35.37.05

She fled their remote island home of Kesui with her family – but could not save herself – nor her 75-year-old mother – from a barbaric mutilation - forced upon them as a sign of their new faith

SYNCH MARIA

T38: 13.26 they told us to open our legs then they used a razor blade to slash the clitoris for some people it was totally cut off …13.36 there was a great deal of blood and I felt so ashamed /// CUT TO 14.55 /// she pauses … that feeling of shame … because I’m a Christian and having that kind of experience … I just can’t describe it … hold on pause

TROOPS PATROLLING AMBON

T37.18.30-30.30

Such chilling intimidation may not seem a political act - but it is.

For the deadly religious war that’s divided Ambon has been unleashed and deliberately perpetuated by factions resisting reform in Jakarta.

Synch asmara - human rights commission t21.03.30

**SHORTEN GRAB

T21.03.30 these people consist of the former generals politicians former ministers and other former officers from the suharto time who fight for their interests for survival

ARMY BACKING MOSLEM RAID

AMBON FILE TAPE A:

*START WITH SOLDIER FIRING FROM BEHIND WALL – TA.25.40

*THEN BEST OF RAID - KIDS FACES – TA.28.55

• COVERING FIRE

(UPSOT GUNFIRE)

It’s here in Ambon – these military-backed politicians – to so-called dark forces – have been most successful in undermining elected government.

(UPSOT GUNFIRE)

These extraordinary pictures - from August - show Indonesian troops

supposedly here to hold the peace - leading a Moslem attack on Christians.

(UPSOT FROM BUNKER TA.29.39)

…They even fire on Christian positions to cover the Moslem advance

**SYNCH GEORGE

T1.18.39

18.39. sometimes you have had snipers killing the right number of people from both sides so if they kill ten people from the moslem village they will shoot ten from the Christian village and thereby the people had to continue to fight

SETUP TWOSHOT AND/CLOSEUPS OF GEORGE

T1

George Aditjondro - a specialist in the murky links between sections of the military and Suharto’s old guard politicians - says they last year helped the arrival of thousands of Moslem fighters from java.

Synch george aditjondro

GEORGE: TAPE 2.17.09

2.17.09. When the ambonese themselves were trying to reconcile and there was a kind of status quo the military helped the militant Moslem forces to organise the jihad forces to organise the laskar jihad, give them training in bogor and eventually did to nothing to hamper them from sending thousands of their members to ambon

TAKE BEST OF OTHER AMBON MAYHEM –

AMBON TAPE A: 15.5.

deaths as army fight back christian protest with coffin

(GUNFIRE A.15.5.- BREATH/MUSIC)

The army insists these troops are often just Moslems or Christians caught up in the emotion of a religious war…

But with four thousand people now dead in and around Ambon - and violence spreading to other parts of the country - human rights investigators have a more sinister explanation.

SYNCH ASMARA:

T21

21.2.30 these cases are undermining the government’s ability to uphold the law - /// CUT TO /// violence if it happens in other regions it will be enough for the military or for this group to help the military to step in to retake more power

XMAS BOMBING CARNAGE

FILE G: XMAS BOMBINGS

**possibly slow-mo and return

dramatic threatening music from top – especially if not dramatic enough vision

CUT TO HOSPITAL SURVIVORS

TAPE G.4.24

(UPSOT SIRENS – TAPE G )

For years kept to the provinces the campaign of deliberate violence has now been brought to capital, Jakarta

(MORE DRAMATIC UPSOT)

Bombs have exploded at the stock exchange, a mosque and even a diplomat’s house … always coinciding with an attempt by Wahid’s government to question an old Suharto crony or family member over corruption.

And last Christmas Eve - in a dramatic escalation of this campaign - eighteen died and 120 were injured when bombs ripped through eighteen churches across Java and Sumatra

..The aim was provoke religious riots across the country

An immediate investigation led by Indonesia’s Human Rights Commission found criminals and Islamic

extremists had planted the bombs.

…But in a report yet to be released – they found the bombers had been organised and paid by members of Suharto’s old regime

SYNCH ASMARA

T20.14.3

**SHORTEN GRAB

20.15.00 if there is riots the government will collapse in that kind of situation everybody will be looking for the military and the military will step in - if there is a military or authoritarian regime of course we did not expect them to prosecute their friends their seniors or their allies

SYNCH WIDJOJO

T31.16.40

AGUS NODS AGREEMENT OVER EVAN’S OFF-CAMERA QUESTION

**LENGTHEN GRAB TO INCLUDE CLOSING LINE

31.16.40 QU: // this is the specific allegation that there are sections of the active military linked to former suharto ministers and former corrupt politicians who are actively trying to create a chaotic situation that would then lead to strengthening of the military’s position both socially and politically.

17.2 we are always open to any inputs and information concerning our soldiers and if there are hard evidences or data that leads to the facts of such circumstances I think we will take actions upon those soldiers but until now we do not have any findings that lead to that conclusion so you deny the claims we not only deny it there is no such policy.

ASMARA IN MEETING

T21.19.30 *TAKE MOST HEATED UPSOT FROM ANYONE – MAKE SURE WE SEE ASMARA CHAIRING THE MEEING

(BRIEF MEETING UPSOT T21.19.30)

Asmara Nababan’s investigators are frustrated…

They submitted their report to the government two months ago – nothing has happened…and it’s hardly surprising…indonesia’s police have no legal power to investigate the army.

Because there’s still no judicial action - for legal reasons they can’t yet release the names of those they believe masterminded the bombings - but they do have phone records linking at least one former Suharto minister to the attacks.

FUAD BAWAZIER – TWOSHOT WITH EVAN IN HUGE OFFICE

T25.5.33-8.30

Fuad Bawazier - already accused of helping fund Moslems extremists in Ambon - represents Suharto’s old guard – now under suspicion

Synch fuad

T24.29.00

T24.29.00 there are some who believe you may be linked to the bombings 29.22 what is the reason what is the proof, what is the logic if any international agents can give proof that I am doing such a stupid thing I’ll be happy – but that is complete nonsense – character assassination

TOMMY AND SUHARTO IN WEDDING?

FILE E SUHARTO

TOMMY AND THE CARS???

A key public servant during the height of Suharto’s kleptocracy…Bawazier was a minister and before that the director of taxation when Suharto’s son Tommy obtained a tax break worth millions of dollars for a monopoly to assemble the national car.

SYNCH FUAD

T24.23.10 I have nothing to do with this case but you were the head of the department – yeah but first of all it was directed by the president and then handled by the minister and even at the time I was off so when I got back I got the report…

FUAD TWOSHOT WITH EVAN

T25.5.33

Now back from holidays – and rich – Fuad Bawazier has reinvented himself – as an mp and a financier of the student movement against Wahid – a key figure in the return of Suharto’s old guard

SYNCH GEORGE TAPE ONE

SYNCH 19.49.15 ABOUT

CLD CUT IN MOST RECENT STUDENT PROTEST VISION – THEN BACK TO SYNCH AT END.

19.49.15 so here you have the person who could be able to bridge from being one of suharto’s strongest cronies or one of the richest cronies within the cabinet to becoming one of the most focused spokespersons anti-gus dur against the president in the parliament right now - what’s his role against gus dur now fuad bawazier has currently been elected as head of the hmi alumni corps … CUT TO …. which controls most of the student governments in indonesia and you see. the bems are now at the forefront of the campaign to get rid of unseat gus dur.

**new sequence

ARIFIN AND MEGA IN MEETING

While Fuad handles the funding – another old Suharto crony – Arifin Panigoro – leads the political attack.

Arifin heads vice-president Megawati Sukarnoputri’s party in the parliament – and is one of the most active in seeking Wahid’s dismissal.

SYNCH ARIFIN IN CAR

9.1.30

T9.1.26 what’s the president done wrong … 9.2.08when he was appointed as president - very simple to say it’s public accountability that is the most important thing

ARIFIN CONTINUES MEETING WITH UNI STUDENTS:

10.5.46 OR IN HALL 10.12.15

Joined by other parliamentary faction leaders Arifin is today drumming up student support against Wahid…and it’s fertile ground.

ARIFIN LEADS UNI STUDENTS MEETING

10.12-15-11.3.00

**check trans on arifin upsot

(UPSOT ARIFIN ADDRESS 10.15.20)

Many in the student movement that helped oust Suharto – feel Wahid has failed to implement the anti-corruption, anti-military reforms they wanted.

Yet – ironically - they’re now being incited to protest by a man who embodies the corrupt system they fought against.

SYNCH GEORGE:

T1.14.00 about

1.14.00 people like arifin panigoro… /cut to //// really made a fortune by including members of the suharto family of the ginanjar family and other dignitaries in to their corporate shareholdership

ARIFIN IN UNI MEETING

10.15.00

Under Suharto Arifin built up a vast oil business through his metcoi group – and is today typical of the old cronies who’s business empires could be threatened by possible investigation for corruption under Wahid.

SYNCH GEORGE 1.12.45

A lot of these people are worried that if you allow the process of investigation of the suharto time era of corruption to go on then they will become victims so instead of just waiting to be investigated they are now turning the heat up on gus dur 16.04 so getting rid of wahid would reduce the chances of prosecution getting rid of wahid would have two angles of benefits one is to reduce the chance of prosecution and secondly to get mega in to the presidency and thereby becoming continued position

EVAN QUESTION IN CAR TO ARIFIFN: T9.8.36

T9.8.36 what do you say to people who say people like yourself this is the old … guard just trying to come back, you’re using this is an excuse to come back 8.57 oh yeah this is complicated if we talk about the old guard want to protect themselves or like to do something against gus dur we have to admit that you know these are kind of return or whatever but for us we’re we are not belong to them

MPS GATHER AT PARLIAMENT.

T1-3

In February members of Indonesia’s lower house gathered for a pivotal moment in the campaign to oust the president.

ARIFIN IN RED TIE 1.10.30

Among them of course is Arifin Panigoro who controls the biggest single block of seats and is today out for Wahid’s political blood.

SYNCH ARIFIN IN DOORSTOP

1.10.41 yes we want to be tougher ..what do you mean tougher we’ve been too lenient now we want to be tough

MPS GET UP – WALK OUT WALK OUT

PARLIAMENT VOTE:

T4.16.0-16.20

(****UPSOT ALLAH AKBAR)

Parliament’s attack is based on allegations Wahid knowingly played a role in the misappropriation of about six million US dollars in government funds.

They’re charges Wahid flatly denies – but helped along by Arifin - parliament found overwhelmingly the President’s handling of the money had breached his oath of office over clean governance - a charge that could see Wahid impeached by June.

(***BIG UPSOT BREAK – PARLY)

But with scant evidence of personal corruption - and no criminal inquiry before the vote –– this is not really about guilt or innocence at all – it’s a parliamentary numbers game – a game that that Wahid is losing.

MEGAWATI AND WAHID IN PARLY WHEN HE WON THE VOTE - FILE

(UPSOTS BREAKS BETWEEN V/O)

With only ten percent of the seats – Wahid’s position is weak – he owes his presidency to a coalition of parties which at the time were anxious to keep Megawati from the presidency – even though her party won the election.

AMIEN TAPE – SEE CLOSE-UP FIRST

(UPSOT MOSLEM RALLY)

It was Amien Rais who played kingmaker – on the surface because his coalition of Moslem parties couldn’t bare having a female leader.

Synch wimar 33.19.00

PRESI

But that support came with the understanding that gus dur would step aside in favour of amien rais or his friends but since gus dur didn’t do that so that understanding broke down when was that meant to happen before the vote

AMIEN AND WAHID TOGETHER

Ever since – Amien - boosted by Moslem opposition to Wahid’s liberal religious views - has led the charge to oust the President – many believe to give himself a better chance at the top job in the next election … and he’s found eager partners in the coalition that elected Wahid.

SYNCH GEORGE T1.27.45

It was a coalition government including at least including two of the forces which were the strongest pillars of the suharto dictatorship the military and golkar

PARLY

And that creates one of Wahid’s biggest problems – whenever he does pursue reform or prosecution for past misdeeds he angers the vested interests that elected him – and disappoints the public because nothing gets done.

SYNCH GEORGE T1.

….

WAHID IN MOSQUE

T7.7.33:

It’s for these reasons the combative Wahid often dismisses the parliament’s challenge – and ignores it’s calls for his resignation.

SYNCH WAHID IN MOSQUE

T7.24.45

T7.24.45 I’m not going to resign I’m here as president later you can see me here too as president till the end of my term 24.53 ///cut to 24.55 my spokesman and I have been asked by the doctor to go down – not from our positions but from our weight 25.09 (big laughs all round)

WAHID ANSWERING QUESTIONS IN MOSQUE T7.21.40

THEN CUT TO WAHID WALKING OUT – T8. (7.33.40)

While it disarms supporters – Wahid’s humour leads many to think he doesn’t take the crises facing him and his country as seriously as he should.

He reneged on a deal to give Megawati more power, erratically interfering in day to day government - and confuses many with decision u-turns

He’s also recently refused to give the two biggest parliamentary parties – including Megawati’s - any cabinet positions – further eroding her support.

LAKSAMANA SYNCH DOORSTOP:

T5.4.37

5.4.37 he has not a harmonious relationship with the parliament number one he is running a minority government anything imaginable can happen with a minority government and he is not reaching out to the biggest majority faction

LAKS T5.9.00

IF SHORT CLD USE SOME GLEAMING TOWERS OF JAKARTA

A former minister for investment Laksamana Sukardi embodies another Wahid mistake.

He’s the type of clean technocrat needed to get Indonesia out of it’s economic abyss…

Yet when he tried retrieving a billion dollars from a textile conglomerate – Wahid deemed the firm untouchable – and instead sacked Laksamana – hinting with no evidence that he was corrupt..

SYNCH LAKS IN EVAN’S DOORSTOP WITH HIM AFTER THE PARLY T5.5.41

so is this really about revenge for his style of leadership

5.5.41 I’m not saying it’s a revenge, but it’s a seed of hatred already there, but when it comes out the corruption scandal, people investigating, it’s the timing and he has no support

WAHID GIVES PRESSER T6.13.00

PRESSER IN PRESIDENTIAL PALACE

With that support gone - the day after his parliamentary censure Wahid came out fighting.

(BRIEF UPSOT WAHID PRESSER:)

The parliament’s vote - he says - frees him of the political debt to the old guard that elected him president –the government will now speed up the prosecution of ten suharto era cronies…

(BIT MORE UPSOT)

And there’s plenty to investigate – when when the former ruling Golkar party had the run of this palace under Suharto – untold billions of public money was syphoned off for party and personal fortunes

Synch asmara

T21.9.00 about

people want to taste justice right now they deserve it because for thirty years they never taste the justice

NB: MOODY/MUSIC – LET BREATH OVER RIOT PICTURES

YOUTHS ATTACK GOLKAR OFFICE

START WITH GUYS RIPPING GOLKAR SYMBOL OFF WALL…

PRO WAHID DEMO – SURABAYA

T16.8.34

HANDS ON CAMERA – KIDS GET HEAVY 17.23.7

(UPSOT RIOT AND MUSIC)

Taking justice in to their own hands – and their cue from the President’s new resolve to tackle his enemies – this was the response of Wahid’s supporters to the parliament’s censure.

(UPSOT RIOTS/MUSIC)

Their target – the local office of the Golkar Party – for thirty years the political pillar of Suharto’s corrupt

dictatorship…suharto may be gone but the same men are still running the party – and no-one has yet faced a corruption trial.

(UPSOT RIOTS/MUSIC)

…it’s this anger Wahid now threatens to unleash – and it can turn ugly – as witnessed by cameraman geoff clegg as the crowd decided they no longer wanted to be filmed.

1. lets go lets go…)

GOLKAR OFFICE GOES UP IN FLAMES 18.08.8

(UPSOT CHEERS 18.08.00)

As the flames engulfed this symbol of corrupt repression – these youths sent a message to Golkar chief Akbar Tanjung.

18.13.8 STUDENTS CHEER - FUCK YOU AKBAR TANJUNG - (slashes throat)…

PROTEST CROWD **BIG CROWD

T16.4.00

Called the Banser - these are members of the NU – a 30-million strong Moslem organisation Wahid inherited to rule.

I/V WITH BANSER LEADER

15.28.50

15.28.50 gus dur is our symbol I’m convinced what he says is true is true and what he says is wrong is wrong and because of that the new order groups or other vested interest groups make him look bad then we will be against them – all of east java will rise against them 29.10 that’s true (shout)

MORE OF THE BIGGEST CROWDS

Considered a spiritual leader – especially here in his East Java heartland - they follow Wahid with an unquestioning loyalty…and while he may not have ordered them on to the streets – he could have stopped them

SYNCH MILITANT ON TRUCK – THICK OF THE CROWD 16.11.41

***SHORTEN GRAB

UPSOT MILITANT SPRUKER:

16.11.41 gus dur is the pioneer of reformation in this country 11.57 /// CUT TO /// 12.41 we have to destroy all the components of the new order. 12.47

KEEP RIOT VISION

It was revealing that just hours before that riot the President wasn’t shy of using the tension as a warning to his hostile parliament

SYNCH WAHID

There’s already been incidence of violence in east java – not only east java central java central sulawesi I got a phone call from akbar tanjung last night and all were burning golkar offices and I said you do your work try to set straight the behaviour of the parliamentarians and I will do my job to see my NU people do not go supporting the people doing these things.

RIOT CONTD

BIT MORE RIOT

T15-18:

It’s these protestors who vow to bring this violence to Jakarta if the parliament proceeds with the impeachment of Wahid.

…And while a coup is out of the question – the military is watching closely – and won’t rule out other options to re-assert more control.

SYNCH I/V WITH AGUS

T31

**SHORTEN GRAB:

31.1.47 our main concern is that …CUT TO … they will not use the masses as their political tools in achieving their purpose politically…. CUT TO …

31.8.35 there are always opportunities and authorities by various functions of government of national components to arrive at a solution to overcome those problems so the military could step in … CUT TO … again it will be on the basis of a political decision and secondly guided by the authority laid down in the constitution.

WAHID? OR MILITARY GVS.

Wahid’s had bad relations with the army ever since he tried installing an anti-corruption reformer as it’s chief.

It got worse when it was widely reported he wanted to dissolve parliament and declare martial law as a way of avoiding his impeachment process.

Wahid denies making that order - instead he says he was seeking the army’s advice for what he now repeatedly insists will be the break-up of the nation if he’s removed.

WAHID – IV SYNCH

Is it true you wanted to freeze parliament:

If necessary if there is a declaration of independence in the provinces of aceh riau irian by those Papuans then of course I have to preserve the total integrity territorial integrity of the republic and that necessitates emergency laws and should be decided not by me by a group of people including the vice president megawati

MEGAWATI AT HOME

With big crowd t34.00-4.56
***NOTE: MAKE SURE SEE BAMBANG

CHECK WITH EVAN WHO IS TAUFIK

IDENTIFY TAUFIK IN HOME PARTY MODE

T34.3.28

(UPSOT MUSIC AT HOME T34.00)

Vice-president Megawati Sukarnoputri – is Indonesia’s leader in waiting - seen here with a man representing her close ties to the old military establishment - former general now security minister Bambang Yudhoyono – tipped as her possible deputy.

She controls the most seats in parliament – so her party’s vote for Wahid’s censure means she has her finger on the impeachment trigger

She’s yet to publicly push for Wahid’s hasty dismissal – mainly to avoid unrest – but possibly because she is herself vulnerable - over corruption claims surrounding her husband Taufik Kiemas

GEORGE AND EVAN WITH MAGAZINES – taufik all over them T3.17.40

(UPSOT GEORGE: T3.17.48 ..monolithic to multi-party corruption, it make sit worse)

Sections of Jakarta’s media are already

abuzz with the corruption allegations – and while none have been proved

- as Wahid is finding - a strong leadership needs to be beyond reproach.

TAPE THREE - GEORGE

25.55: so that means if she is promoted to become president then maybe in less than six months she will be treated like benazir bhutto she will be kicked out of the presidency maybe from the country for the corruption of taufik kiemas

MEGA IN COUNTRYSIDE

T32.8.21 EVAN PESTERS MEGA FOR A COMMENT

CUTAWAYS OF ADORING FANS

32.8.20

As the daughter of the nation’s founding father - Megawati is Indonesia’s most popular politician –

Her administration promises to be more stable than Wahid’s – but many aren’t sure what she really stands for - rarely speaking to the media because she doesn’t like being treated like a commodity – her silence makes her vision for the country a troubling enigma.

32.8.21 …any statement about your concern for the indonesian people - please no comment …

CONTINUE MEGA GETS ONCHOPPER T32.10.6 – CHOPPERTAKES OFF.

Known as a conservative nationalist – Megawati opposed East Timor’s referendum…and her close ties to a military which has lost patience with Wahid’s attempts at dialogue would return hardline crackdowns in the restive provinces.

Even so - Wahid’s survival now depends on her party’s support in parliament…and he insists she will not vote against him.

WAHID FROM I/V

..she will not entertain any kind of special session so no impeachment nah no impeachment

POSSIBLY BIT OF STYLISED STUDENT PROTEST – MUSIC?

But her support for him does appear to be slipping and with the growing clamour against him this wily cleric must forge new power-sharing deals with her to beat an impeachment

…no the battle is already won…

WAHID WALKS OFF

…but in reality – it’s only just begun…

with the nation already edging closer to disintegration – Wahid’s dismissal would strengthen the hand of a returning old guard – who’s enduring control could spark instability for a generation to come.